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aud/usd Technicals

Monday, 05 January 2009 14:03:52 GMT

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

aud/usd Fundamentals

Monday, 22 December 2008 20:20:59 GMT

Australian Dollar/US Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Strategist; David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst; Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Australian Dollar (AUD)

 ico-clock Current Time - Sydney: 3:35 PM | EST: 11:35 PM | GMT: 4:35 AM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

AUD/USD Ratio: -1.02
Signal: Bullish


Full Article
COT Positioning

AUD:  Composite COT is at a level that previously indicated an important low (March 2006). 


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
AUD AiG Performance of Service Index (DEC) 37.8
AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (NOV) 0.7%
AUD Retail Sales Trend (MoM) (NOV) 0.2%
AUD HIA New Home Sales (MoM) (NOV) 4.5%
AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index (DEC) 32.0
AUD Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (NOV) 2.952B
AUD Building Approvals (MoM) (NOV)
AUD Building Approvals (YoY) (NOV)


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for AUD
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 0.7570 High 61.8% Fibo 0.8524 - 0.6007 Benchmark 4.25
R3 0.7479 High 38.2% Fibo 0.9851 - 0.6007
R2 0.7233 High 100-Day SMA 1 Week 4.850
R1 0.7167 Weak Bollinger Band Resistance 11/10 High 4.888
S1 0.7000 Medium Psychological Support 3 Month 4.800
S2 0.6854 High 20-Day SMA 6 Month 4.750
S3 0.6676 High 50-Day SMA 9 Month 4.675
S4 0.6536 Medium Bollinger Band Support 1 Year 4.650
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Reserve Bank of Australia
  Current Bias: Neutral
  Current Interest Rate: 4.25%
  Last Change: 12/02/08 cut 100bp
  Next Meeting: 02/03/2009  More Dates
Latest RBA Interest Rate Outlook		  
Central Bank Governor: Glenn Stevens

Current Voting Members: Glenn Stevens, Ric Battellino, Ken Henry, John Akehurst, Jillian Broadbent, Roger Corbett, Graham Kraehe, Donald McGauchie, Warwick McKibbin